Crown Oaks | Spring Racing Carnival

The VRC Oaks is one of the oldest continual races on the Australian racing calendar, first run in 1861 when Palestine was successful. The race is run over 2500m and is referred to as Oaks Day, taking its place on the Thursday of the Flemington Spring Racing Carnival.

The Oaks is restricted to three year old fillies and is held at the conditions of set weights. In 2016 the weight is set to 55.5kg, with the race having always been held at Flemington. The race was originally held over 2400m or one mile and a half in the imperial scale and was lengthened to the current 2500m following safety concerns with the distance to the first turn.

In 2016 total prizemoney on offer is $1 million with the winner to receive $600,000. The 2015 winner was the Ciaron Maher trained Jameka, ridden by Damien Oliver. Other past winners include Dear Demi, Miss Finland, Northwood Plume, Slight Chance, Surround and Light Fingers.

CROWN OAKS - FOUR FAST FACTS

CROWN OAKS - FOUR FAST FACTS

CROWN OAKS RACE GUIDE
Date: Thursday 3rd November 2016
Race Time: 16:00 AEST
Race Code: MR8
Location: Flemington Racecourse
Distance: 2,500 metres
Race Type: 3YO Fillies under Set Weights
Status: Group 1
Prize Money: $1,000,000
2016 Winner: Lasqueti Spirit
2016 Crown Oaks Results

RACE RESULTS
NO NAME RESULT ODDS
11 LASQUETI SPIRIT 1ST $138.00 (win)
7 HARLOW GOLD 2ND $2.10 (pl)
5 ELEONORA 3RD $2.00 (pl)
9 PEEKING DUCK 4TH -

2016 RACE ANALYSIS

- PUNTERS.COM.AU

Eleonora will roll forward with Lasqueti Spirit from their middle gates. Nine Peak and Red Velvet Swing won't be far off the pace and it could even be the RVS that steals the running under Katelyn Mallyon. Yankee Rose, Sebring Dream and Smart As You Think should be aiming to shoot in early from their outside lines.

The saying ‘the cream rises to the top’ has never rung more true than in this race. The winners of the last 20 years have not generally been stayers. The horses with the best turn-of-foot (Miss Finland, Samantha Miss and Mosheen) usually leave the grinders in their wake. On that basis, it is difficult tip against Cox Plate runner-up Yankee Rose

Yankee Rose (1) is easily the best horse in this race and her job has been made much easier by the absence of Tiamo Grace. She's not exactly bred to relish over 2500m but if the mare can settle on the back of what should be a moderate tempo in the early stages, she should be able to sprint clear of her rivals at the death. Her form looks brilliant for this when you consider she beat Derby winner Prized Icon two-back before finishing alongside Hartnell in the Cox Plate. From all reports she's come through her Cox Plate placing in good condition so you'd think only a run of bad luck beats her here. Her price ($1.65) is indicative of that.

The race for second looks very competitive but Harlow Gold (7) looks the goods thanks to the gate she was drawn. She's having her sixth run for the build-up but her runs have been fairly well-spaced and she'll appreciate a return to her own sex after just struggling against the geldings in the Vase on Cox Plate day where she couldn't match the sprint of Sacred Elixir and others from the 400m. This is her major goal of the spring.

Eleonora (5) should have a length or two on the others on the final stretch provided she jumps cleanly from barrier 10. Her 1.25L victory over Tiamo Grace last start is a great sign but it's worth noting that the runner-up would've won with a cleaner passage in the straight. It's difficult to compare that performance to the Wakeful Stakes since they were very different races in terms of how they were run (Wakeful was a genuine sprint home from the 600 metre mark).

Smart As You Think (6) shapes as the best roughie in the race and at $16 looks to be terrific value. The mare will jump from barrier 15 but she gives off the idea that she'll be strong at the end of the 2500 metres. She took on older horses at Moonee Valley last start and was too good as she bolted on to win from the 400 metre mark.

Sebring Dream (3) was a huge chance on Saturday before Tiamo Grace swooped to overtake her. McDonald rode her beautifully but she simply wasn't good enough on the day. Her best efforts have come at the Flemington track and she's definitely a decent chance as far as the minor placings go.

Verdict: Yankee Rose looks a class above but she's not the greatest betting proposition at $1.65. A First Four might be the play: 1 / 5,6,7 / 3,4,5,6,7 / 2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,13.

EXPERT TIPS & ANALYSIS FROM

PUNTERS.COM.AU

  1. 1   YANKEE ROSE
  2. 7   HARLOW GOLD
  3. 5   ELEONORA
  4. 6  SMART AS YOU THINK



CROWN OAKS MAJOR PLAYERS

CROWN OAKS MAJOR PLAYERS

YANKEE ROSE

The David Vandyke trained filly has been near the top of the boards in the all-in market when the decision about her going to the Oaks was not definite, opening at $11, As soon as the market went to final field Yankee Rose was a red figure quote. That price came about following her solid 3rd placing behind Winx in the Cox Plate, where it was only the wonder mare and Hartnell that were able to beat her home. In the G1 Spring Champion Stakes over 2000m at Randwick, the 3YO defied history and became the first filly to win the race in the history of the event. Recording a half-length win, Prized Icon was beaten into 3rd place and he has since won the Victoria Derby. Blake Shinn goes back on after riding the filly in the G1 Fight Stakes and she will have her first appearance at Flemington.

ELEONARA

The Baker/Forsman trained filly has missed a placing just once in her seven start career. That miss came in the G2 Edward Manifold Stakes, on a day at Flemington where a lot of horses did not handle the day when there was strong winds that affected many runners. Eleonara began her Australian campaign in a 1300m race at Geelong on the synthetic when starting a short priced favourite and taking a comfortable win. Her next start was then in the Edward Manifold and was a forgive run. Her final lead-up for the Oaks came in the 2000m G3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield where she worked home strongly in the closing stages to record a 1.25 length victory. She beat home Tiamo Grace who has since come out to win the G2 Wakeful Stakes. Damien Oliver has ridden the filly at each of her Australian starts and will be up again... read more The Baker/Forsman trained filly has missed a placing just once in her seven start career. That miss came in the G2 Edward Manifold Stakes, on a day at Flemington where a lot of horses did not handle the day when there was strong winds that affected many runners. Eleonara began her Australian campaign in a 1300m race at Geelong on the synthetic when starting a short priced favourite and taking a comfortable win. Her next start was then in the Edward Manifold and was a forgive run. Her final lead-up for the Oaks came in the 2000m G3 Ethereal Stakes at Caulfield where she worked home strongly in the closing stages to record a 1.25 length victory. She beat home Tiamo Grace who has since come out to win the G2 Wakeful Stakes. Damien Oliver has ridden the filly at each of her Australian starts and will be up again here. read less

SEBRING DREAM

Sebring Dream has shown improvement as she has been stepped up in distance each start and out to the 2500m look like it should suit. In the G1 Thousand Guineas she settled at the rear and was finishing off strongly when finishing just under four lengths from the winner. In the 2000m G3 Ethereal Stakes she once again settled at the rear and was really finding the line in the closing stages to be two lengths from the winner. Lining up in the Wakeful Stakes she was ridden right on the pace which was against how she had been ridden the other starts this campaign. Starting the favourite she fought on well to finish 1.25 lengths from Tiamo Grace. James McDonald rode the filly for the first time in the Wakeful and keeps the ride for the Oaks, a race he is yet to win from only 3 attempts.



THE ROUGHIE

THE ROUGHIE

MISSROCK

By Fastnet Rock and out of a Strategic mare, Missrock has the pedigree to be a sprinter, however she has shown great improvement as she has been stepped up in distance this campaign. Last start in the Wakeful Stakes, she was ridden much closer to the speed than she had been in previous starts and the filly responded well, fighting on for 3rd, beaten 2.75 lengths behind Tiamo Grace and 1.5 lengths behind Sebring Dream who finished in 2nd. Hugh Bowman rode the filly in the Wakeful and was also aboard when taking out the G3 Percy Sykes over 1200m at Randwick. Leading into the Wakeful, Missrock had finished midfield in both the Thousand Guineas Prelude and the Thousand Guineas, when settling at the rear of the field. The Robbie Laing trained filly opened on the fifth line at $14 in the UBET fixed book when the final field was... read more By Fastnet Rock and out of a Strategic mare, Missrock has the pedigree to be a sprinter, however she has shown great improvement as she has been stepped up in distance this campaign. Last start in the Wakeful Stakes, she was ridden much closer to the speed than she had been in previous starts and the filly responded well, fighting on for 3rd, beaten 2.75 lengths behind Tiamo Grace and 1.5 lengths behind Sebring Dream who finished in 2nd. Hugh Bowman rode the filly in the Wakeful and was also aboard when taking out the G3 Percy Sykes over 1200m at Randwick. Leading into the Wakeful, Missrock had finished midfield in both the Thousand Guineas Prelude and the Thousand Guineas, when settling at the rear of the field. The Robbie Laing trained filly opened on the fifth line at $14 in the UBET fixed book when the final field was released. read less