State of Origin 1st Try Scorer Guide

The opening match of the 2017 State of Origin series is contested on the 31st of May and both Blues coach Laurie Daley and Maroons mentor Kevin Walters will have finalised their squad announcements by the 22nd of May (despite round 11 of the NRL dishing out some untimely injuries to key players), which should give both parties ample time to prepare their troops for battle the final day of the month.

With both NSW and Queensland having officially finalised their squads, UBET has crunched the stats and form surrounding each player's likelihood of crossing the stripe for the first four-pointer of the series.

1

James
Tedesco


Starting Odds: $13.00

Age: 24 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 0

‘Teddy’ hasn't had the greatest of seasons with the Tigers going through poor form and off-field controversies but in his first Origin match, he produced a blinder.

 
 

1

Darius
Boyd


Starting Odds: $13.00

Age: 29 | SOO Caps: 26 | SOO Tries: 17

’Darbs’ has been in sensational form for the Broncos and Australia. The Maroons ace was selected ahead of former No. 1 Billy Slater and is the record holder for most tries in Origin history.

 

2

Blake
Ferguson


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 0

'Fergo' has been in sensational form for the Roosters and Australia with the ex-Raider putting on some blistering displays from both centre and the wing.

 
 

2

Corey
Oates


Starting Odds: $9.00

Age: 21 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 1

’White Wendell’ crossed for his debut Origin try in Game II last season and the giant winger is every chance of crossing for the first one in Game I this year.

 

3

Josh
Dugan


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 11 | SOO Tries: 2

Dugan was sorely missed in the first and second State of Origin matches last year and the Dragons’ utility back should be right take his place at centre after recovering from an eye injury.

 
 

3

Will
Chambers


Starting Odds: $13.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 4 | SOO Tries: 2

Without Greg Inglis calling the shots in the centres, Chambers will form a powerful left edge with hulking Broncos winger, Corey Oates. The Test centre has been in great form all season.

 

4

Jarryd
Hayne


Starting Odds: $13.00

Age: 29 | SOO Caps: 20 | SOO Tries: 9

Hayne is coming off a quiet last start with the Titans but he regularly goes to the next level during Origin. The last series he played, the Blues won 2-1.

 
 

4

Justin
O'Neill


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 3 | SOO Tries: 0

‘Juzzy’ was solid in his opening three matches for Queensland and the Maroons’ right side is very potent, so he is a fair shot at scoring first playing inside Dane Gagai.

 

5

Brett
Morris


Starting Odds: $10.00

Age: 30 | SOO Caps: 11 | SOO Tries: 3

'B Moz" is somewhat of an Origin veteran and his experience in finding the stripe at all levels will be priceless for a desperate Blues team. The Bulldogs winger is in ominous form in 2017.

 
 

5

Dane
Gagai


Starting Odds: $10.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 4 | SOO Tries: 5

In Gagai’s first three matches as a Maroon, he scored first for Queensland each time. In Game II last year, the Knights’ back also landed a rare Origin hat-trick.

 

6

James
Maloney


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 30 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 1

Maloney’s form at club level for Cronulla has been outstanding and when the journeyman pivot takes on the line, he’s a very good chance of scoring a four-pointer.

 
 

6

Anthony
Milford


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 22 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

'Milf' was one of the surprise selections to start for Queensland. The flashy Broncos half has had a terrific 2017 and is just as good at scoring tries as he is at setting them up.

 

7

Mitchell
Pearce


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 15 | SOO Tries: 1

Pearce returns to the Origin arena for the first time since 2015 on the back of some extremely hot form for the Roosters. Like Cronk, Pearce will provide the focal point of the NSW attack.

 
 

7

Cooper
Cronk


Starting Odds: $23.00

Age: 33 | SOO Caps: 19 | SOO Tries: 3

‘Coops’ generally organises and sets up the Maroons’ attack so you can almost guarantee he will be involved in some capacity when the first try is scored.

 

8

Aaron
Woods


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 11 | SOO Tries: 1

Woods managed his only Origin try in Game II 2015 but the big Tigers prop saves his best work for the middle third and has never scored first try at this level.

 
 

8

Dylan
Napa


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 24 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

Napa, making his Origin debut, is among one of the biggest outsiders to get first try. He is more known for bone-crunching defence and barnstorming runs than scoring tries.

 

9

Nathan
Peats


Starting Odds: $41.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

Peats is one of a handful of players to debut in the 2017 Origin opener. The tough and crafty rake isn't known for his try-scoring feats but is more than capable of darting over close to the line.

 
 

9

Cameron
Smith


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 33 | SOO Caps: 39 | SOO Tries: 5

Smith is the glue that holds this record breaking team together and like Cronk he will probably be involved in the first try but most likely won’t plant the ball down.

 

10

Andrew
Fifita


Starting Odds: $41.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 7 | SOO Tries: 1

Replacing clubmate and retired former captain Paul Gallen, Fifita is no stranger to the try-line on the big stage after scoring the winning four-pointer in last year's NRL grand final.

 
 

10

Nate
Myles


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 31 | SOO Caps: 31 | SOO Tries: 1

The selection of Myles has been met with mixed reactions because of poor form at club level. The veteran prop has never scored first try in Origin and is not a noted four-point merchant.

 

11

Josh
Jackson


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 5 | SOO Tries: 0

A rugged, no-nonsense hardworking forward, Jackson is unlikely to produce Origin I's first try but second rower's have been known to pinch the odd four-pointer in the Origin arena.

 
 

11

Josh
Papalii


Starting Odds: $17.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 1

Papalii has been in fine form for the Raiders this year and is one of the more likely forward options to score first try, but the hulking back rower doesn't make a habit of crossing first.

 

12

Boyd
Cordner


Starting Odds: $23.00

Age: 24 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 1

Codner will run out as captain of NSW for the first time on Wednesday night in a huge milestone for the 24-year-old. Last year, he surprised many when he ran off a Maloney pass to score the first try in Origin I.

 
 

12

Matt
Gillett


Starting Odds: $17.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 15 | SOO Tries: 2

‘Gillo' has been dubbed by many experts as the best back-rower in the game, and while his defence is his strong suit, he is always menacing around the edges running off the likes of Cronk and Smith.

 

13

Tyson
Frizell


Starting Odds: $23.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 2

The Dragons’ back-rower was the Blues’ best player in his debut Origin game last year and he does have an uncanny knack of finding the try-line with two tries in two games.

 
 

13

Josh
McGuire


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 5 | SOO Tries: 0

'Moose' is more known for his barging runs and ferocious tackling. McGuire is yet to score in a State of Origin match and looks unlikely in his new position of lock.

 

14

David
Klemmer


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 23 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 0

Klemmer has now been part of the Blues set-up for a number of seasons but the gigantic Bulldog has never scored at State of Origin level and isn't a known try-scorer with the Bulldogs.

 
 

14

Michael
Morgan


Starting Odds: $21.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 5 | SOO Tries: 1

The most likely of Queensland's bench rotation to score a try at any stage, Morgan will pose a constant threat to the Blues defensive set-up, it just depends on when he gets his chance.

 

15

Wade
Graham


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 0

Graham is one of a couple of debutants blooded by Daley last year but the hard-working five-eighth turned back rower is more famous for his tough no nonsense style more than his try-scoring ability.

 
 

15

Sam
Thaiday


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 31 | SOO Caps: 28 | SOO Tries: 3

'Slammin' Sam' is no stranger to the stripe this year having found the line a number of times for the Broncos. However, the Maroons forward may have to bide his time before being unleashed.

 

16

Jake
Trbojevic


Starting Odds: $41.00

Age: 23 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

Trbojevic provides plenty of value if he sees early game time. Making his Origin debut the Manly product has already played two Tests for Australia, scoring on each occasion.

 
 

16

Aidan
Guerra


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 29 | SOO Caps: 9 | SOO Tries: 2

Guerra is one of two Roosters in the Maroons ranks and like fellow forward Gillett, the edge back rower does have the ability to score a try – just like he did in Game III of 2015.

 

17

Jack
Bird


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 22 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 0

Broncos-bound Bird is one of the most dynamic and versatile players in the NRL. He plays centre for the Sharks but could find himself anywhere from wing to back row when summoned onto the field.

 
 

17

Jacob
Lillyman


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 33 | SOO Caps: 13 | SOO Tries: 0

After missing Game I last year, Lillyman was sensational from the bench in Game II and the Warriors prop will look to produce a similar style of play in 2017 but don't expect him to score a try.