State of Origin 1st Try Scorer Guide

With both NSW and Queensland having officially finalised their squads, UBET has crunched the stats and form surrounding each player's likelihood of crossing the stripe for the first four-pointer of State of Origin Game III. James Maloney surprised plenty of punters when he crossed for the first try in Game I at Brisbane's Suncorp Stadium. While it is rare for a five-eighth to cross first, it would be even more rare for the same player (in any position) to do it twice in a series! Down in Sydney, the game's first try belonged to rookie Sharks winger Valentine Holmes in a less surprising result for UBET customers. For more insight, check out our comprehensive NRL first try scorer strategies.



NEW SOUTH WALES



QUEENSLAND



1

James
Tedesco


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 24 | SOO Caps: 3 | SOO Tries: 1

‘Teddy’ hasn't had the greatest of seasons with the Tigers going through poor form and off-field controversies but in his first two Origin matches, he produced some sensational pieces of individual brilliance and like Slater can sniff out a try from just about anywhere.

 
 

1

Billy
Slater


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 34 | SOO Caps: 29 | SOO Tries: 12

'Billy The Kid' left Maroons selectors with no option but to pick him for the crucial second match of the series with sparkling displays at club level. Slater is just about in career best form and is an absolute genius at pairing with Cronk and Smith in sniffing out a 4-pointer.

 

2

Blake
Ferguson


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 0

'Fergo' has been in sensational form for the Roosters and Australia with the ex-Raider putting on some blistering displays from both centre and the wing. He didn't have the best first game with his opposite number Gagai nullifying his game.

 
 

2

Valentine
Holmes


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 21 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 1

Holmes can consider himself lucky to be in this team after Corey Oates, who was arguably Queensland's best player in Game I, was sensationally axed by Maroons selectors. Holmes is a noted try-scorer in his time as a winger but is more of a fullback this season.

 

3

Josh
Dugan


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 11 | SOO Tries: 2

Dugan was sorely missed in the first and second State of Origin matches last year and the Dragons’ utility back, who has played more at fullback than centre, proved his worth in the series opener last month by containing Chambers well.

 
 

3

Will
Chambers


Starting Odds: $21.00

Age: 29 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 2

Without Greg Inglis calling the shots in the centres, Chambers will form a powerful right edge with former Broncos winger, Dane Gagai. The Test centre has been in great form all season and is no stranger to the white line in his time for Melbourne and Queensland.

 

4

Jarryd
Hayne


Starting Odds: $15.00

Age: 29 | SOO Caps: 22 | SOO Tries: 11

Hayne is coming off a couple of impressive displays at the Titans and he regularly goes to the next level during Origin. The last series he played, the Blues won 2-1 and tin Game I, he was outstanding in scoring a try and justifying coach Laurie Daley's faith. Needs a bigger effort in Game III after his disappointing Game II.

 
 

4

Michael
Morgan


Starting Odds: $17.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 7 | SOO Tries: 1

The most likely of Queensland's halves rotation to score a try at any stage, Morgan will pose a constant threat to the Blues defensive set-up, it just depends on when he gets his chance. He is a known try-scorer at club level and in a rare starting berth for the Maroons, big things will be expected.

 

5

Brett
Morris


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 30 | SOO Caps: 13 | SOO Tries: 3

'B Moz' is somewhat of an Origin veteran and his experience in finding the stripe at all levels will be priceless for a desperate Blues team. The Bulldogs winger is in ominous form in 2017, thoroughly earning a recall to the Blues team.

 
 

5

Dane
Gagai


Starting Odds: $11.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 6 | SOO Tries: 7

Gagai is one of the most potent attacking weapons that Queensland has and his performance in the first Origin game provided the perfect illustration of that. He ran for a game-high of 220 metres in Game I and in the last match, the gun winger notched a double including the match winner late.

 

6

James
Maloney


Starting Odds: $21.00

Age: 31 | SOO Caps: 9 | SOO Tries: 2

Maloney’s form at club level for Cronulla has been outstanding and when the journeyman pivot takes on the line, he’s a very good chance of scoring a four-pointer. The first try-scorer in Game I was terrific and has been great since arriving at the Sharks last year. Jimmy will be looking to score first twice in the same series; a rare feat.

 
 

6

Cameron
Munster


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 21 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

Munster has been on the fringe of being selected throughout the 2017 Origin series so it's hardly surprising to see the Storm young gun being given a chance in the decider with Game I fullback and Game II centre Darius Boyd out injured. 21-year-old Munster will provide plenty of spark in attack for Queensland.

 

7

Mitchell
Pearce


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 17 | SOO Tries: 3

Pearce returns to an Origin series for the first time since 2015 on the back of some extremely hot form for the Roosters. Like Cronk, Pearce will provide the focal point of the NSW attack - even scoring a try from some solid back-up work in Game I and Game II.

 
 

7

Cooper
Cronk


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 33 | SOO Caps: 21 | SOO Tries: 3

‘Coops’ generally organises and sets up the Maroons’ attack so you can almost guarantee he will be involved in some capacity when the first try is scored. In possibly his final Origin series, it's reasonable to expect Cronk to be at the top of his game.

 

8

Aaron
Woods


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 13 | SOO Tries: 1

Woods managed his only Origin try in Game II 2015 but the big Tigers prop saves his best work for the middle third and has never scored first try at this level. Like most props, Woods isn't exactly used to touching down for a four-pointer but stranger things have happened in Origin.

 
 

8

Dylan
Napa


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 24 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 0

Napa, who made his Origin debut in Game I, is among one of the biggest outsiders to get first try. He is more known for bone-crunching defence and barnstorming runs than scoring tries but his performance in Game II proved he is more than up to State of Origin standard.

 

9

Nathan
Peats


Starting Odds: $41.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 0

Peats is one of a handful of players to debut in the 2017 Origin series. The tough and crafty rake isn't known for his try-scoring feats but is more than capable of darting over close to the line. His excellent form at the Gold Coast this year was transferred to Origin I and II for NSW.

 
 

9

Cameron
Smith


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 34 | SOO Caps: 41 | SOO Tries: 5

Smith is the glue that holds this record breaking team together and like Cronk he will probably be involved in the first try but most likely won’t plant the ball down. The ageless champion has experienced plenty of success at club and state level and will be desperate to secure a third straight series win.

 

10

Andrew
Fifita


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 9 | SOO Tries: 3

Replacing clubmate and retired former captain Paul Gallen, Fifita is no stranger to the try-line on the big stage after scoring the winning four-pointer in last year's NRL grand final. He also crossed for a well-earned try in Game I and set-up the first try of that match.

 
 

10

Jarrod
Wallace


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 0

After luckily escaping a shoulder charge ban at the NRL judiciary, Wallace will be relieved to achieve his dream of playing for the Maroons; in a starting role no less. While he is far from a noted try merchant, he is having a bumper season on the Gold Coast after leaving the Broncos last year.

 

11

Josh
Jackson


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 7 | SOO Tries: 0

A rugged, no-nonsense hardworking forward, Jackson is unlikely to produce Origin III's first try but second rower's have been known to pinch the odd four-pointer in the Origin arena. Jackson is more known for his defence than his attack. He has scored just 1 try at club level in 2017.

 
 

11

Gavin
Cooper


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 31 | SOO Caps: 3 | SOO Tries: 1

Gavin Cooper earned a recall to the Queensland team after some impressive form with the Cowboys. Expect Cooper to run off his clubmate and gun playmaker Morgan at some stage close to the line; he is brilliant at running lines. Cooper has scored 2 tries in 15 matches for the Cowboys this year.

 

12

Boyd
Cordner


Starting Odds: $21.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 8 | SOO Tries: 1

Cordner will run out as captain of NSW for the third time on Wednesday night in a huge milestone for the 24-year-old. In Game I, he was a standout and he will join an elite list of players if he secures a series win in just his first series and third match as skipper.

 
 

12

Matt
Gillett


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 17 | SOO Tries: 2

‘Gillo' has been dubbed by many experts as the best back-rower in the game including Benji Marshall, and while his defence is his strong suit, he is always menacing around the edges running off the likes of Cronk and Smith. Gillett has nabbed 4 tries this season at the Broncos.

 

13

Tyson
Frizell


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 4 | SOO Tries: 2

The Dragons’ back-rower was the Blues’ best player in his debut Origin game last year and he does have an uncanny knack of finding the try-line with two tries in his first two games. Frizell is a no-nonsense type of player capable of finding the stripe at anytime.

 
 

13

Josh
McGuire


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 7 | SOO Tries: 0

'Moose' is more known for his barging runs and ferocious tackling. McGuire is yet to score in a State of Origin match and looks unlikely in his new position of lock but he will have to take on more responsibility in the middle third with the addition of several rookies in the team.

 

14

David
Klemmer


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 23 | SOO Caps: 8 | SOO Tries: 0

Klemmer has now been part of the Blues set-up for a number of seasons but the gigantic Bulldog has never scored at State of Origin level and isn't a known try-scorer with the Bulldogs. Coming off the bench is usually an indicator he won't be crossing for first try.

 
 

14

Ben
Hunt


Starting Odds: $41.00

Age: 27 | SOO Caps: 0 | SOO Tries: 0

Controversially selected ahead of in form Manly halfback Daly Cherry-Evans, Hunt will finally debut for the Maroons three years after it was widely tipped he would play his first match in Queensland colours. After finding form with his running game, Hunt could well find himself injected into the game early on.

 

15

Wade
Graham


Starting Odds: $51.00

Age: 26 | SOO Caps: 3 | SOO Tries: 0

Graham is one of a couple of debutants blooded by Daley last year but the hard-working five-eighth turned back rower is more famous for his tough no nonsense style more than his try-scoring ability. Graham is yet to score a try at state level but is a bit of a try thief for the Sharks.

 
 

15

Coen
Hess


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 20 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 0

While Hunt is probably most likely of the Queensland bench to score a try, Coen 'He-Man' Hess has proved to be a big time try-scorer as he leads the NRL's forwards for most tries this season. On debut expect the big backrower to be aggressive and powerful running off Cronk and Morgan.

 

16

Jake
Trbojevic


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 23 | SOO Caps: 2 | SOO Tries: 0

Trbojevic provides plenty of value if he sees early game time. Making his Origin debut in Game I, the Manly product has already played two Tests for Australia, scoring on each occasion. However he is yet to score at State of Origin level.

 
 

16

Josh
Papalii


Starting Odds: $34.00

Age: 25 | SOO Caps: 8 | SOO Tries: 1

Selecting Papalii, who adds valuable experience, on the bench is a tactical masterstroke from coach Kevin Walters because the powerful stocky Raiders forward should provide plenty of punch through the middle and edges. He is unlikely to score first but should be brilliant with a young pack.

 

17

Jack
Bird


Starting Odds: $26.00

Age: 22 | SOO Caps: 4 | SOO Tries: 0

Broncos-bound Bird is one of the most dynamic and versatile players in the NRL. He plays centre for the Sharks but could find himself anywhere from wing to back row when summoned onto the field. Bird has been in solid form for Cronulla but only nabbed 2 tries so far in 2017.

 
 

17

Tim
Glasby


Starting Odds: $67.00

Age: 28 | SOO Caps: 1 | SOO Tries: 0

Glasby was considered very lucky to have been selected to make his State of Origin debut under the tutelage of Kevin Walters and probably even luckier to get a second game. Glasby doesn't score very often and is one of the longest-priced players to cross for a try in his first match for the Maroons.